1. No Risk From Scab Infections; 2. Keep An Eye on Cedar-Apple Rust Galls; 3. Potential Risk From Fire Blight 12-14 April

1. APPLE SCAB. For now the apple scab models are not predicting any new infections based on the weather forecast visible as of today. We will see if the forecast for 12-13 April changes or not. As of right now chances for rain are low, 7 – 16%. However, it is imperative to remember that we do not rely on anything beyond 48h in forecast as predictions can change rapidly. Hence, please continue to look at the scab models to determine if and when the next infection prediction will occur in the foretasted weather. But, as of now, it seems there are no oncoming risks from scab infection.

2. CEDAR APPLE RUST. Next issue we will face is cedar apple rust. With the recent warm rains cedar apple galls are likely visible as being orange in central and southern Virginia (Figure 2). When galls turn orange fungal basidiospores can fly from the cedars to apple leaves and fruit and infect them during rain. In Northern Virginia they should emerge orange with the next warm rain(s). When gall turn orange (Figure 2), please use the below simple model to predict when infections on leaves and fruit can occur.  To predict how severe rust infections will be, use the average temperature and leaf wetness predicted in forecast and plug them in the model in Figure 1 below. Before the rains triggering rust infection, start and continue to apply sterol inhibitor fungicides, also known as DMI fungicides, on a 14 day schedule. These fungicides are Inspire Super, Cevya, Indar, Rally, Sonoma, Topguard, Rhyme, or Procure. Always tank mix them with Manzate Pro-Stick (very effective for rust). DMI fungicides are essential to apply every 14 days for rust control and should extend all the way until the 2nd cover. DMI fungicides also have activity against scab and powdery mildew. In between the 14 days of using DMI fungicides, i.e. at 7 day interval, apply SDHI fungicides Fontelis, Sercadis, Miravis or Excalia and always add Manzate Pro-Stick to the tank mix so as to protect against apple scab, rust and powdery mildew. This time of the year your spray interval with fungicides should be every 5 – 7 days (5 days if you use alternate row middle; 7 days if you use complete sprays).

Figure 1. Temperature and moisture requirements for Cedar apple rust infection (Source: R. C. PEARSON ET AL. (1981): CEDAR APPLE RUST – GYMNOSPORANGIUM JUNIPERI- VIRGINIANAE SCHW. DISEASE IDENTIFICATION SHEET NO. 5).

3. FIRE BLIGHT. Fire blight infection conditions will improve from 12-14 April based on NEWA model as the color field around EIP number will switch to orange on those days and the EIP value will increase to 140-157 in Westfield NC, to 114-189 in Roseland VA, to 154 in Sperryville VA, to 128 in Winchester, to 147-202 in Timberville. The orange field means that one out of four infection conditions is missing. It could be that this missing condition is water, so make sure you add streptomycin to the spray tank when applying fungicides during the days when the color box with EIP number is orange. Keep looking at the EIP value and its box color in NEWA model for fire blight before you make any spray decisions and do not forget to use the “Streptomycin Spray Date” function in this model as it can help you decide when to spray your next streptomycin application.

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Figure 2. Fully developed telial horns of Gymnosporangium juniperi-virginianae in Winchester, VA visible during rain on 4 April 2025 (Photo by Acimovic S. G. 2025).